Economic policy / Macroeconomic Indicators, Economic Growth
This section reports on economic policy initiatives of the Czech government, the EU, and other entities that have a direct impact on the competitiveness of the country. It also includes information on economic priorities of the AmCham and other leading associations.
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Spotlight issue
Lower CZGB supply in second half of year
The government is proposing a further increase in the state budget deficit to CZK500bn. The main reason is the rise in spending to support the economy at this time of crisis. In our opinion, however, the government will continue to have problems implementing expenditure plans, which will lead to a deficit of only CZK400bn. This also implies less additional CZGB issuance, further reduced by using state financial assets and the drawdown of EUR loan programs. In our view, the MinFin has only CZK56.7bn left to issue by the end of the year, which shouldn’t be a problem to place.
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May inflation falls but not as much as expected
Czech inflation decelerated from 3.2% in April to 2.9% in May, but the market expected a stronger deceleration to 2.6%. Interestingly, service prices continue to grow despite Covid-19 issues
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Czech unemployment rate slightly higher in May
The Czech unemployment rate increased slightly in May, but this does not mean that the labour market is immune to the economic fallout from the pandemic. This slight increase is probably the result of government measures, but once these measures end, we're likely to see an increase in the months ahead.
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