7th August 2017

CNB: 'The growth of the Czech economy will accelerate visibly above 3% this year and will stay slightly above 3% in the following two years.'

Summary of the most recent forecast by the Czech National Bank:

  • Headline inflation will stay in the upper half of the tolerance band this year and return to the 2% target at the start of next year. Monetary policy-relevant inflation, i.e. inflation adjusted for the first-round effects of changes to indirect taxes, will be very close to headline inflation.
  • The growth of the Czech economy will accelerate visibly above 3% this year and will stay slightly above 3% in the following two years.
  • The domestic economic activity will be driven mainly by robust growth in household consumption, continuous growth of foreign demand and gradual renewal of government investment co-financed from EU funds.
  • Growing labour demand will, in combination with the lack of available workforce, result in an accelerated growth of wages.
  • he koruna will appreciate further against the euro (positive interest rate differential, quantitative easing by the ECB and renewed real convergence).
  • The monetary conditions will continue to shift towards a neutral stance.
  • Consistent with the forecast is an increase in domestic market interest rates in 2017 Q3 and subsequently also in the following two years. More.

Members of the American Chamber of Commerce in the Czech Republic